Pedro Rodrigues vs Nicolas Mejia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: In the last six months, Mejia has won 44.28% of points on their second serve, while Rodrigues stands at 38.73%. Given the correlation between this statistic and match outcomes, Mejia seems to have an edge here. Could this advantage on the second serve be decisive?
• Return Game Statistics: While Mejia has a slight edge in winning 44.57% of points on opponents' second serves, Rodrigues excels with 50%. Additionally, Rodrigues leads with a 34.96% success rate on first serve returns compared to Mejia's 28.78%. Does this suggest Rodrigues is more effective at breaking serve?
• Performance Under Pressure: Mejia has saved 53.29% of breakpoints, whereas Rodrigues has saved 45.7%. This could play a significant role in turning the match in Mejia's favor under pressure situations.
• Overall Win-Loss Record: Over the past year, Mejia has a 50% win rate (36/36), while Rodrigues has won 63.16% of their matches (24/14). Statistically, Rodrigues exhibits a stronger overall performance.
• Surface Preferences: Both players favor clay, with Mejia winning 58% and Rodrigues winning 55% of their clay court matches. On other surfaces, Rodrigues has shown more flexibility, as Mejia has faced challenges, especially on grass.
• Event Level Experience: Mejia has focused on Challengers/ITF circuits, winning 52.54%, while Rodrigues has thrived in Futures/ITF, boasting a 60.87% win rate. The different competitive levels might impact their performance here.
• Head-to-Head Record: In their single encounter, Rodrigues emerged victorious. Rodrigues also prevailed in the last competitive match on clay in Bogota, suggesting a psychological edge.
• Match Duration: Their matches have averaged over three and a half hours, highlighting potential endurance issues. Could stamina play a deciding role in their next clash?
• Deciding Set Performance: Rodrigues has a 73% success rate in deciding sets, compared to Mejia's 50%. Rodrigues tends to outperform in tighter matches.
• Opponent Quality: Mejia has faced stiffer competition over the past year with opponents averaging a rank of 331.78, whereas Rodrigues' opponents averaged 367.21, which might factor in Mejia's preparedness for high-stake matches.
• Break Point Conversion: Rodrigues has a slight advantage here, converting 37.9% of breakpoints, compared to Mejia's 35.9%, indicating more efficiency in critical situations.

Editorial Prediction (June 25, 2025, UTC):

Both Mejia and Rodrigues bring distinct strengths to the court. Mejia's robust second serve performance, combined with strong breakpoint defense, provides a foundational advantage. However, Rodrigues shows marked superiority in return games and deciding sets, which could be pivotal in a closely contested match.

Their head-to-head history, although limited, suggests Rodrigues possesses a psychological and strategic edge over Mejia, having secured their previous matchup. Moreover, Rodrigues' ability to efficiently convert breakpoints and maximize returns on first and second serves may tilt the scales in his favor.

Given these insights, Rodrigues emerges as the likely winner in this upcoming encounter, leveraging his effective return strategies and superior performance in high-pressure scenarios to secure the triumph.